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Worldwide Wireless Penetration to Hit 24
Percent in '05 According to In-Stat; China Rises to Top
Posted by WDN, June 04, 2001
The worldwide annual dollar value of Digital
Media Servers will top $1.2 billion during
2001, and expand to surpass $4.4 billion
during 2005.
According to Cahners In-Stat Group, Scottsdale, AZ., the
next five years will see dramatic wireless subscriber
growth, with
the worldwide penetration rate reaching 24 percent in 2005
(http://www.instat.com).
The high-tech market research firm anticipates that this
continued growth will be marked by the long awaited surge by
China into
first place, with the country passing the United States in
wireless subscribers during the third quarter of this year.
"This five-year forecast period will harbor a number of
changes for the industry. The most significant is the roll
that will be played by
3G. Today's massive investments that are required to deploy
3G infrastructure will not yield significant subscriber
revenue to offset the
short-term expenditures," said Ray Jodoin, principal analyst
for In-Stat's Wireless Technology and Infrastructure Group.
According to In-Stat, virtually all 3G service providers
will not see a return to profitability until well after
2005, leading to serious
conflicts between the need to maintain profitable 2.5G
service, and the desire to rapidly add to the 3G subscriber
base. Despite this,
subscriber growth continues at an unabated rate, and
services, not specific technology, will continue to drive
the growth.
In-Stat has also found that:
-
GSM will leap into second place among air link
technologies in the Americas.
-
ROW (Rest of World) will achieve rapid dominance in the
mobile marketplace. This may lead to large shifts in the
manufacturing
"balance-of-power" for infrastructure as well as
handsets.
-
The Americas will have a combined CAGR (Compound Annual
Growth Rate) over the forecast period of 14.5 percentage
points. Canada will lead the growth, followed by CALA
(Caribbean and Latin America) and the United States.
-
Europe will have a combined CAGR over the forecast
period of 5.8 percentage points. Russia will lead the
growth, followed by
Eastern Europe and Western Europe.
The report, "China. The sleeping dragon arises. '01-'05
Worldwide Wireless Subscriber Forecast" (No. GW0107SU),
provides
worldwide, regional and country-specific forecasts for
cellular subscribers.
From The Report:
The next five-years will see dramatic worldwide subscriber growth, as well as the long awaited surge by
China into first place. In fact, China will pass the U.S. in subscribers during the third quarter of this year.
Another significant change will be the remarkable leap of GSM into second place among the Americas
air link technologies. While this prediction can certainly be argued at this point, Cahners In-Stat Group,
never the less, believes that it is inevitable.
To purchase this report, or for more information, please
visit http://www.instat.com/catalog/cat-cw.htm#gw0107su or
contact Matt
Woods at 617/630-2139; mwoods@instat.com. The report price
is $3,695 USD.
Cahners In-Stat Group (http://www.instat.com/) covers
the full spectrum of digital communications research from
vendor to
end-user, providing the analysis and perspective that allows
technology vendors and service providers worldwide to make
more
informed business decisions.
In-Stat is a unit of Cahners Business Information
(www.cahners.com), a leading provider of critical
information and marketing
solutions to business professionals and a member of the Reed
Elsevier plc group.
CONTACT: Cahners In-Stat Group, Scottsdale
Ray Jodoin, 480/483-4461 (Analyst)
Email: rjodoin@instat.com
Kirsten Skedd, 480/609-4534 (Marketing)
Email: kskedd@instat.com
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