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| Subject: | Re: MobileLBSList: WAP/WML interoperable? |
| Date: |
09/07/2000 06:54:37 PM |
| From: |
Gerhard Fasol |
|
Gould Carlson Michael wrote:
>
> It¥s interesting to see that in our strawman "hype cycle" model,
> WAP/WML falls in the "trough of disillusionment" (as defined by Gartner
> Group).
Michael,
your statements is interesting. I have to confess that I have not read the
paper by the Gartner groups which you are refering to, but even from
Tokyo I can sense the "trough of disillusionment" if WAP/WML in
Europe. Several of my friends in high-management positions at major
European publishing houses and mobile carriers tell me about this.
One friend (Vice-President in one of Europe's major publishing houses
with global presence) even tells me that several of his colleagues changed
their WAP-enabled handsets back into non-WAP handsets.
However, I feel that these issues have much more to do with the current
implementation - both technical implementation as well as the business
models applied by the various commercial parties involved (mainly the
mobile carriers and handset makers).
Why do I say this: WAP in itself is not unsuccessful. There is a market
where there is direct competition between WAP based wireless systems
and an alternative (imode). Despite imode's well publicised success,
WAP is also quite successfull in Japan, which over 4 million happy users,
and this number is increasing rapidly. In fact, my personal guess is, that
most users don't care whether the data behind what they see and
experience
on the screen of their handset is WAP or chtml encoded.
Another point is, that many people in Europe when discussing WAP, wireless
internet etc overlook the basic fact, that of all the world's wireless
internet users:
82 % are in Japan
12.5% are in Korea
5.5% are in Europe.
(you can find more details in our imode-FAQ:
http://www.eurotechnology.com/imode/faq.html )
So even from the purely statistical sense you have a very poor sampling,
if you study only users and experience in Europe, when you are trying to
guess the future of wireless internet, position sensitive services etc.
We are a high-tech company in Tokyo/Japan and we will be delighted to work
with you regarding Japanese know-how and results relevant for your work.
Best regards,
Gerhard Fasol, PhD
Eurotechnology Japan K. K.
http://www.eurotechnology.com/
fasol@eurotechnology.com
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